Independiente Medellin vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.