Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.