Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Internacional
31.42% ( -0)	28.48%	40.1% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.71% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49% (

60.51% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

80.62% (

-0)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85%

35.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1%

71.9% (

-0)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

29.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

65.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Nacional 31.41%

Internacional 40.09%

Draw 28.47%

Nacional	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.12% Total : 31.41%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.47%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 40.09%