Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Internacional in this match.