America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Athletico Paranaense

America Mineiro
2 - 2
Athletico PR

Paulista (76'), Avelar (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roque (9'), Christian (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-0 Millonarios
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Libertad
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
America MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
50.27% (0.217 0.22)27.43% (-0.129 -0.13)22.3% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.42% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.42% (0.331 0.33)61.58% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.58% (0.245 0.25)81.42% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.249 0.25)24.75% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (0.351 0.35)59.31% (-0.354 -0.35)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1)43.63% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08)79.81% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 50.26%
    Athletico Paranaense 22.3%
    Draw 27.41%
America MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 15.07% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 50.26%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.79% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Athletico PR

America Mineiro
57.1%
Draw
25.0%
Athletico Paranaense
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 10pm
gameweek 23
Athletico PR
1-1
America Mineiro
Pablo (25')
Almeida (64')
Apr 30, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 4
America Mineiro
1-0
Athletico PR
Pablo Ramirez (75')
Jailson (52')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
gameweek 20
America Mineiro
2-0
Athletico PR
Azevedo (48'), Kal (70')
Azevedo (24')

Vinicius (45+1')
May 30, 2021 10.15pm
gameweek 1
Athletico PR
1-0
America Mineiro
Eduardo (87')
Nikao (10')

Anderson (26'), Ricardo (72')
Oct 6, 2018 8pm
gameweek 28
Athletico PR
4-0
America Mineiro
Cirino (1'), Veiga (41'), Nikao (56'), Pablo (75')
Pablo (8'), Andre (22'), Veiga (45')

Wesley (5'), Ricardo (21'), Donizete (58')