America Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 3, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Corinthians

America Mineiro
2 - 0
Corinthians

Avelar (74' pen.), Marques (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 America Mineiro (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-0 Atletico Mineiro (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawCorinthians
49.63% (1.005 1.01)26.59% (-0.205 -0.21)23.78% (-0.799 -0.8)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.36% (0.14 0.14)57.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.6% (0.11 0.11)78.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.52 0.52)23.32% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.751 0.75)57.27% (-0.751 -0.75)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (-0.662 -0.66)39.91% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (-0.614 -0.61)76.57% (0.61500000000001 0.62)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 49.62%
    Corinthians 23.78%
    Draw 26.58%
America MineiroDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.245 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.79% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 49.62%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.31% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Corinthians

America Mineiro
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Corinthians
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
gameweek 27
America Mineiro
1-0
Corinthians
Juninho (77')
May 29, 2022 10pm
gameweek 8
Corinthians
1-1
America Mineiro
Silva (82')
Maycon (57'), Gil (85')
Aloisio (67')
Gustavinho (13')
Sep 19, 2021 10.15pm
gameweek 21
Corinthians
1-1
America Mineiro
Giuliano (17')
Gabriel (90+5')
Matheus Lopes do Nascimento (7')
Jun 6, 2021 8pm
gameweek 2
America Mineiro
0-1
Corinthians

Lisca (7'), Eduardo (43'), Ribamar (90+3')
Santos (29' pen.)
Araos (86'), Gabriel (90+2'), Camacho (90+6')
Nov 5, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
America Mineiro
1-1
Corinthians
Rodolfo (84')
Diego (50')
Fagner (60' pen.)
Xavier (41'), Everaldo (50'), Fagner (80'), Gil (90+4')