Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.