Brasileiro | Gameweek 6

May 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Guedes (45+6' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Araujo (15')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Corinthians
Thursday, May 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, May 12 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Sao Paulo
37.39% ( 0.22)	28.53% ( -0.06)	34.08% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 46.14% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.75% (

0.2)

60.25% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.58% (

0.15)

80.42% (

-0.15)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

0.24)

31% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7% (

0.28)

67.3% (

-0.28)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

-0)

33.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

-0)

69.74% (

Score Analysis

Corinthians 37.39%

Sao Paulo 34.07%

Draw 28.52%

Corinthians	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.39%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.07%