Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.