Brasileiro | Gameweek 5

May 11, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo
2 - 0
Goias

Pedro (8' pen.), Ribeiro (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Goias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Goias

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Goias 0-5 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Goias had a probability of 8.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Goias
75.28% ( 0.89)	15.79% ( -0.41)	8.93% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 45.97% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.27% (

0.35)

39.72% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.92% (

0.37)

62.08% (

-0.36)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.06% (

0.3)

8.93% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.48% (

0.71)

30.51% (

-0.71)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.48% (

-0.8)

49.52% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.67% (

-0.57)

84.32% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 75.26%

Goias 8.93%

Draw 15.79%

Flamengo	Draw	Goias
2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.75% Total : 75.26%	1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.79%	0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.93%