Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Goias

Gimnasia
0 - 2
Goias

FT(HT: 0-0)
Vinicius (55' pen.), Peixoto (82' pen.)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gimnasia and Goias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Tigre
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goias

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Goias
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Goias had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawGoias
41.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.41% (0.11 0.11)29.81% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.32% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.28% (-0.405 -0.41)60.72% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.22% (-0.305 -0.31)80.78% (0.306 0.31)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-0.203 -0.2)28.66% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.256 -0.26)64.48% (0.256 0.26)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53% (-0.294 -0.29)36.47% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74% (-0.3 -0.3)73.26% (0.30000000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 41.77%
    Goias 29.81%
    Draw 28.4%
GimnasiaDrawGoias
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 41.77%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.45% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 29.81%

rhs 2.0


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