Copa Sudamericana
May 4, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
  • goal Vinicius 55'
  • goal Matheus Peixoto 82'

Gimnasia vs Goias - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 3.00am
Santa Fe 2 - 1 Gimnasia

Goias

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 3.00am
Universitario 2 - 2 Goias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Goias had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Gimnasia 41.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 28.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Goias 29.81% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.28% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 2.5 60.72% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 19.22% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 80.78% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 4.5 7.89% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 92.11% ▲ (+0.18)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 28.66% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 64.48% ▲ (+0.26)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5 63.53% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 36.47% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 26.74% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 73.26% ▲ (+0.31)

Score analysis

Gimnasia 41.77%
Draw 28.4%
Goias 29.81%
Gimnasia
1-0 @ 13.06% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 41.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.4%
Goias
0-1 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 29.81%