Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Universitario

Gimnasia
0 - 1
Universitario

FT(HT: 0-0)
Succar (85' pen.)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gimnasia and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 3-1 Gimnasia
Friday, March 31 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Cienciano
Friday, March 10 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawUniversitario
46.61% (0.032999999999994 0.03)28.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.84% (0.012 0.01)63.16% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.42% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)82.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)27.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.029000000000003 0.03)62.7% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.01% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)78.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 46.61%
    Universitario 24.9%
    Draw 28.48%
GimnasiaDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 14.88%
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 46.61%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.9%