Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 10, 2023 at 2am UK

Universitario
2 - 0
Cienciano

Quispe (10'), Herrera (70', 70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universitario and Cienciano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

Last Game: Universitario 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, March 3 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Cienciano

Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Cienciano
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.

Result
Universitario	Draw	Cienciano
52.47% ( 0.31)	24.35% ( -0.08)	23.18% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.33% (

0.1)

49.66% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.32% (

0.09)

71.68% (

-0.09)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11% (

0.16)

18.89% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63% (

0.27)

50.37% (

-0.27)

Cienciano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98% (

-0.16)

36.01% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2% (

-0.16)

72.79% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Universitario 52.46%

Cienciano 23.18%

Draw 24.34%

Universitario	Draw	Cienciano
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.46%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.18%