Copa Libertadores
Jun 6, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Christian 72' goal

Athletico Paranaense vs Club Libertad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 23, 2023 11.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Athletico PR

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 3.00am
Alianza Lima 1 - 2 Libertad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 54.99% (-0.05)
Draw 23.75% (+0.01)
Club Libertad 21.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.24% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.69% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 49.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 28.64% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.35% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.74% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.25% (-0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 82.2% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.48% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.52% (+0.02)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 62.33% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 37.66% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 25.55% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 74.44% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 54.99%
Draw 23.75%
Club Libertad 21.25%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.75%
Club Libertad
0-1 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.25%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 5, 2023 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oscar Cardozo 10' goal
  • goal Romulo Cardoso 52'
  • goal Alex Santana 65'
Copa Libertadores
Jul 6, 2022 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roque Santa Cruz 45'+4' goal
  • Ivan Piris 82' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abner Vinicius 42'
  • yellowcard Vitor Roque 62'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 75'
  • goal Romulo Cardoso 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matheus Fernandes 90'+5'
Copa Libertadores
Jun 29, 2022 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 6' goal
  • Christian 26' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hernandez 32' goal
  • goal Hector Villalba 20'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 72'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Campuzano 77'
Copa Libertadores
May 18, 2022 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Tomas Cuello 56' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 68' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 69' goal
  • David Terans 80' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique 81' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 54'
  • yellowcard Martin Silva 55'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 80'
  • yellowcard Hernesto Caballero 81'
  • yellowcard William Mendieta 84'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Antonio Bareiro 23' yellowcard
  • Cristian Riveros 57' goal
  • yellowcard Christian 14'
  • yellowcard Bryan Garcia 55'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 72'
  • yellowcard Pablo 84'