Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Gremio

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Gremio

Roque (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Internacional
Sunday, May 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
54.69% (0.0020000000000024 0)24.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)20.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)77.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 54.69%
    Gremio 20.68%
    Draw 24.62%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 5.21%
4-0 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 54.69%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 20.68%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 37
Gremio
1-0
Athletico PR
Thaciano (77')
Mendes (43'), Ferreira (72'), Silva (75')

Nikao (61')
Heleno (90+3')
Oct 25, 2020 9.15pm
gameweek 18
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Eduardo (44')
Nikao (53'), Christian (65'), Vinicius (90+1')
Heleno (56' og.), Ferreira (88')
Everton (29')
Nov 28, 2019 12.30am
gameweek 35
Athletico PR
2-0
Gremio
Azevedo (33'), Nikao (64' pen.)
Martins (7'), Nikao (66'), Camacho (79')

Cortez (51'), Kannemann (61'), Matheus (62'), Michel (74')
Tardelli (67')