Brasileiro | Gameweek 9

Jun 3, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Botafogo

Santana (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Athletico PR (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Athletico PR (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Botafogo
45.5% ( 0.34)	26.87% ( 0.53)	27.64% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.84% (

-2.43)

56.17% (

2.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.78% (

-2.01)

77.22% (

2.01)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

-0.91)

24.62% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88% (

-1.29)

59.13% (

1.29)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.27% (

-1.97)

35.73% (

1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.5% (

-2.09)

72.5% (

2.09)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 45.49%

Botafogo 27.64%

Draw 26.86%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.49%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.99% Total : 27.64%