Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Botafogo
36.24% ( 0.91)	26.75% ( 0.12)	37.02% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 51.74% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.67% (

-0.42)

53.32% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

-0.36)

74.87% (

0.36)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

0.34)

28.3% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98% (

0.43)

64.02% (

-0.43)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.79)

27.83% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-1.02)

63.43% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Cesar Vallejo 36.24%

Botafogo 37.01%

Draw 26.74%

Cesar Vallejo	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.01%