Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio El Teniente

Magallanes
2 - 2
Cesar Vallejo

Berardo (23'), Giusseppe Santibanez Cano (33' og.), Santibanez (33' og.)
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ysique (19'), Mena (56')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Magallanes and Cesar Vallejo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Magallanes

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Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Magallanes
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Cesar Vallejo

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Last Game: Botafogo 4-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 21 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MagallanesDrawCesar Vallejo
57.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)18.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.186 -0.19)53.96% (0.184 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (-0.157 -0.16)75.4% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Magallanes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (-0.105 -0.11)18.68% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (-0.177 -0.18)50.02% (0.174 0.17)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)43.22% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.52% (-0.061 -0.06)79.47% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Magallanes 57.27%
    Cesar Vallejo 18.6%
    Draw 24.12%
MagallanesDrawCesar Vallejo
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.6%