Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Millonarios
54.81% ( 0.03)	24.68% ( -0.07)	20.51% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.46% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21% (

0.27)

53.78% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74% (

0.23)

75.26% (

-0.23)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.12)

19.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

0.19)

51.48% (

-0.2)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59% (

0.19)

41% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

0.17)

77.55% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 54.8%

Millonarios 20.51%

Draw 24.68%

America Mineiro	Draw	Millonarios
1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.8%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.51%