Copa Sudamericana
Jun 7, 2023 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Aloisio 40' goal
  • Aloisio 40' goal
  • Breno 70' goal
  • Breno 70' goal

America Mineiro vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 24, 2023 1.00am
America Mineiro 2 - 3 Defensa

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 24, 2023 3.00am
Millonarios 3 - 1 Penarol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result

America Mineiro 54.81% (+0.04)
Draw 24.68% (-0.07)
Millonarios 20.51% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.46% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.21% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 53.78% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 24.74% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 75.26% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 11.19% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 88.8% (-0.15)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 80.44% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 19.56% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 48.52% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 51.48% (-0.20)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5 59% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 41% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 22.45% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 77.55% (-0.18)

Score analysis

America Mineiro 54.8%
Draw 24.68%
Millonarios 20.51%
America Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.08% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 10.67% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 54.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.68%
Millonarios
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.2% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.51%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
May 4, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Leonardo Castro 16' goal
  • goal Felipe Azevedo 45'+2'