Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2023 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Matheus Cavichioli 40' goal
  • Mathias Villasanti 61' goal
  • Luis Suarez 69' goal
  • goal Danilo Avelar 25'

Gremio vs America Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 10.30pm
Flamengo 3 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Luis Suarez

America Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 3.00pm
America Mineiro 2 - 2 Athletico PR
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Gonzalo Mastriani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result

Gremio 61.92% (+11.25)
Draw 22.01% (-5.56)
America Mineiro 16.08% (-5.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.54% (+6.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.45% (+12.87)
Under 2.5 49.55% (-12.87)
Over 3.5 28.43% (+10.47)
Under 3.5 71.57% (-10.47)
Over 4.5 13.6% (+6.41)
Under 4.5 86.4% (-6.41)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 84.52% (+9.46)
Under 0.5 15.48% (-9.46)
Over 1.5 55.64% (+15.22)
Under 1.5 44.36% (-15.22)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 56.25% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 43.75% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 20.09% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 79.91% (-0.76)

Score analysis

Gremio 61.91%
Draw 22%
America Mineiro 16.08%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.63% (-2.84)
2-0 @ 11.78% (+1.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+1.09)
3-0 @ 7.33% (+2.36)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+2.06)
4-0 @ 3.42% (+1.70)
4-1 @ 2.83% (+1.44)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.89)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-46.73)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-54.94)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-37.55)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 61.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-2.03)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-4.36)
2-2 @ 4.03% (+0.54)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22%
America Mineiro
0-1 @ 5.6% (-3.38)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.71)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-1.31)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-92.59)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 13, 2021 9.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Felipe Azevedo 4' goal
  • Ricardo Silva 32' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cavichioli 35' yellowcard
  • Juninho 47' goal
  • Ademir 45'+4' goal
  • Mauro Zarate 45'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruan 37'
  • goal Ferreira 55'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 24, 2021 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Guilherme Alecsander Machado Guedes 7' goal
  • Fernando Henrique 63' yellowcard
  • Darlan Mendes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Azevedo 31'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 32'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruschel 74'
  • yellowcard Ramon 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 20, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Juninho 37' goal
  • goal Jean Pyerre 66'
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 10, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul)
  • Cicero 25' yellowcard
  • Everton 32' goal
  • Everton 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aylon 6'
  • yellowcard Giovanni 36'
  • yellowcard Aderlan 80'