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Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio
Flamengo
3 - 0
Gremio
Everton (24'), Pedro (65'), Henrique (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kannemann (55'), Suarez (81'), Uvini (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Gremio

Given their plethora of fresh concerns and perennial defensive concerns on the road, no sheets should be clean on Gremio's side this week, but the in-form visitors boast the much fresher set of legs. Sampaoli is still blessed with options for change, but Flamengo's Copa Libertadores exploits will likely catch up to them, and both teams' winning streak could be brought to a halt in a tense draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawGremio
67.59% (1.271 1.27) 19.13% (-0.327 -0.33) 13.27% (-0.946 -0.95)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-1.525 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (-0.673 -0.67)42.92% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (-0.671 -0.67)65.32% (0.669 0.67)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.149 0.15)11.71% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (0.319 0.32)36.83% (-0.32 -0.32)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.35% (-1.826 -1.83)43.65% (1.826 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-1.552 -1.55)79.84% (1.552 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 67.58%
    Gremio 13.27%
    Draw 19.13%
FlamengoDrawGremio
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.236 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 67.58%
1-1 @ 9.09% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.13%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Gremio

Flamengo
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Gremio
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 12am
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Flamengo
0-1
Gremio

Isla (62'), Henrique (84'), Caio (90+3')
Borja (45+3')
Borja (41'), Thiago (47'), Vanderson (70'), Ferreira (85')
Jan 28, 2021 11pm
gameweek 23
Gremio
2-4
Flamengo
Souza (40', 85')
Souza (19'), Barbosa (46'), Kannemann (71'), Henrique (87'), Pinares (90+7')
Ribeiro (57'), Barbosa (60'), De Arrascaeta (66'), Isla (90+3')
Henrique (26'), Henrique (55'), Vitinho (90+7')
Aug 19, 2020 11.15pm
gameweek 4
Flamengo
1-1
Gremio
Barbosa (89' pen.)
Luis (34'), Barbosa (34'), Lucas (52')
Pepe (45')
Souza (7'), Kannemann (86'), Geromel (87')
Nov 17, 2019 7pm
gameweek 33
Gremio
0-1
Flamengo

Alisson (79')
Barbosa (37' pen.)
Piris (30'), Rodinei (65'), Barbosa (74')
Barbosa (74')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras37209863323169
2Atletico Mineiro37199951282366
3FlamengoFlamengo37199956411566
4Gremio37205126054665
5Botafogo371810957342364
6BragantinoBragantino371711948331562
7Fluminense37168134944556
8Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR371414951401156
9InternacionalInternacional371410134344-152
10FortalezaFortaleza37149144343051
11Sao Paulo371311133938150
12Cuiaba37139153739-248
13Corinthians371114124548-347
14Cruzeiro371113133431346
15SantosSantos371110163862-2443
16Vasco da GamaVasco37119173950-1142
17Bahia37118184652-641
18GoiasGoias37811183553-1835
19Coritiba3786234171-3030
20America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3759234280-3824

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