Brasileiro | Gameweek 9

Jun 6, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Vasco
1 - 4
Flamengo

Jair (58' pen., 58' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-8)

Pulgar (14', 14'), Gerson (16', 16'), Lucas (42', 45+2', 45+2'), Pedro (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Vasco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fluminense
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Flamengo
32.74% ( 0.95)	26.72% ( 0.14)	40.54% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 51.29% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

-0.32)

53.65% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

-0.27)

75.15% (

0.27)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

0.48)

30.67% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

0.56)

66.92% (

-0.57)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

-0.73)

26.01% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.95% (

-0.98)

61.04% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 32.74%

Flamengo 40.54%

Draw 26.71%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.54%