Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Vasco
Jun 6, 2023 12.00am
1
4
HT : 0 8
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo
  • Jair 58' goal
  • Jair 58' goal
  • goal Erick Pulgar 14'
  • goal Erick Pulgar 14'
  • goal Gerson 16'
  • goal Gerson 16'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 42'
  • goal Pedro 42'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 45'+2'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 45'+2'

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 8.00pm
Fortaleza 2 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 10.30pm
Flamengo 1 - 1 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result

Vasco da Gama 32.74% ▲ (+0.95)
Draw 26.72% ▲ (+0.15)
Flamengo 40.54% ▼ (-1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.29% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.34% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 53.65% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 24.85% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 3.5 75.15% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 11.26% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 88.74% ▲ (+0.18)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 69.32% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 0.5 30.67% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 1.5 33.08% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 1.5 66.92% ▼ (-0.57)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 73.98% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 0.5 26.01% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 1.5 38.95% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 1.5 61.04% ▲ (+0.99)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 32.74%
Draw 26.71%
Flamengo 40.54%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.71%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.54%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Flamengo
Feb 5, 2021 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Vasco
  • Diego 24' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 45'+3' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 77' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Matos 32'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Gil 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Alves 76'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Vasco
Oct 10, 2020 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Flamengo
  • Cayo Tenorio 1' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 9' goal
  • Talles Magno 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego 11'
  • goal Leonardo Pereira 48'
  • yellowcard Thiago Maia 61'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 71'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 73'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 89'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Flamengo
Nov 14, 2019 12.30am
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
Vasco
  • Everton Ribeiro 1' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 30' yellowcard
  • Willian Arao 43' yellowcard
  • Danilo Barcelos 45' goal
  • Rafinha 45' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 65' goal
  • Filipe Luis 74' yellowcard
  • Gerson 76' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 81' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard 27'
  • goal Marrony 34'
  • goal Yago Pikachu 38'
  • yellowcard Rossi 41'
  • goal Marcos Junior 52'
  • yellowcard Raul 60'
  • yellowcard Marrony 64'
  • yellowcard Yago Pikachu 78'
  • goal Ribamar 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Vasco
Aug 17, 2019 11.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
Flamengo
  • Leandro Castan 58' goal
  • goal Bruno Henrique 42'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 51'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 62'
  • yellowcard Giorgian de Arrascaeta 80'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 83'
  • yellowcard Rodinei 91'
  • yellowcard Robert Piris da Motta 95'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Vasco
Sep 15, 2018 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Flamengo
  • Andres Rios 28' goal
  • Willian Maranhao 58' yellowcard
  • Fabricio 58' yellowcard
  • Maxi Lopez 100' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinho 58'
  • yellowcard Diego 58'
  • redcard Diego 58'
  • goal Luiz Gustavo 62' (OG)
Brasileiro
Flamengo
May 19, 2018 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Vasco
  • Vinicius Junior 14' goal
  • Everton Ribeiro 34' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cuellar 87' yellowcard
  • Rhodolfo 95' redcard
  • Gustavo Cuellar 97' redcard
  • goal Wagner 18'
  • yellowcard Bruno Silva 41'
  • yellowcard Andres Rios 82'
  • yellowcard Kelvin 90'
  • redcard Duvier Riascos 95'
  • redcard Breno 95'

Form Data

Fortaleza 2 - 0 Vasco
Sao Paulo 4 - 2 Vasco
Vasco 0 - 1 Santos
Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco
Fluminense 1 - 1 Vasco
Vasco 0 - 1 Bahia
Flamengo 2 - 0 Fluminense
Flamengo 1 - 1 Cruzeiro
Nublense 1 - 1 Flamengo
Flamengo 1 - 0 Corinthians
Bahia 2 - 3 Flamengo
Flamengo 2 - 0 Goias