Nublense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 1.30am UK
 
Flamengo

Nublense
1 - 1
Flamengo

Henriquez (72', 72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Barbosa (34', 34')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nublense and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nublense

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Last Game: Nublense 2-1 Aucas
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, May 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Nublense win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
NublenseDrawFlamengo
24.3% (1.104 1.1)23.89% (0.501 0.5)51.81% (-1.605 -1.61)
Both teams to score 54.63% (-0.355 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (-1.08 -1.08)46.66% (1.078 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (-1.018 -1.02)68.93% (1.017 1.02)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (0.371 0.37)33.37% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (0.409 0.41)69.99% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (-0.995 -1)18% (0.994 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12% (-1.735 -1.74)48.88% (1.735 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Nublense 24.3%
    Flamengo 51.81%
    Draw 23.88%
NublenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.358 0.36)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 24.3%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.54% (-0.237 -0.24)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Flamengo
2-0
Nublense
Pedro (15', 38')

Zalazar (72'), Aranguiz (90')