Copa Libertadores
May 2, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
  • Patricio Rubio 79' goal
  • Andres Vilches 90'+1' goal
  • goal Romulo Otero 24'

Nublense vs Aucas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nublense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 20, 2023 1.30am
Flamengo 2 - 0 Nublense

Aucas

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 20, 2023 11.00pm
Racing 3 - 2 Aucas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nublense win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nublense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Aucas win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nublense would win this match.

Result

Nublense 45.42% (+0.24)
Draw 25.24% (-0.05)
Aucas 29.33% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.47% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.14% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.85% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 29.05% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.95% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.02% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 85.98% (-0.06)

Nublense Goals

Over 0.5 78.48% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 21.51% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 45.43% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 54.57% (-0.22)

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5 69.4% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.6% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 33.17% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 66.83% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Nublense 45.42%
Draw 25.24%
Aucas 29.33%
Nublense
1-0 @ 10.11% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.77% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.98% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.24%
Aucas
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.33%