Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Santos

Vasco
0 - 1
Santos

FT(HT: 0-1)
Washington (29')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Vasco
Thursday, May 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Santos

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 3-0 Bahia
Wednesday, May 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawSantos
49.88% (0.922 0.92)27.14% (-0.278 -0.28)22.98% (-0.642 -0.64)
Both teams to score 43.84% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.88% (0.441 0.44)60.12% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.67% (0.334 0.33)80.33% (-0.333 -0.33)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.626 0.63)24.29% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.881 0.88)58.66% (-0.879 -0.88)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (-0.373 -0.37)42.09% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-0.327 -0.33)78.52% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 49.86%
    Santos 22.98%
    Draw 27.13%
Vasco da GamaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 14.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.86%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.22% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 22.98%

Head to Head
Dec 20, 2020 7pm
gameweek 26
Vasco
1-0
Santos
Carlinhos (9')
Jadson (44'), Henrique (90+7')
Sep 3, 2020 1.30am
gameweek 7
Santos
2-2
Vasco
Verissimo (21'), Marinho (59')
Jobson (27')
Bastos (41'), Cano (73' pen.)
Miranda (58'), Henrique (90+2'), Parede (90+5')
Oct 5, 2019 9pm
gameweek 23
Vasco
0-1
Santos

Andrey (62'), Marrony (88'), Castan (93'), Graca (94')
Tailson (50')
Peres (64'), Soteldo (82')
Evandro (79')
May 12, 2019 8pm
gameweek 4
Santos
3-0
Vasco
Pituca (19'), Rodrygo (33'), Soteldo (73')
Lucas (56'), Alison (93')

Lopez (28'), Rossi (30'), Barcelos (82'), Graca (90')
Barcelos (86')
Sep 28, 2018 12am
gameweek 3
Santos
1-1
Vasco
Pituca (44')
Barbosa (1')
Rios (79')
Fabricio (18'), Cosendey (22'), Andrey (70')
Andrey (87')