Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Sao Paulo

Gremio
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Cristaldo (31' pen.), Reinaldo (39')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Calleri (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 1 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Sport (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawSao Paulo
34.12% (-0.073 -0.07)28.28% (0.056999999999999 0.06)37.6% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64% (-0.21 -0.21)59.36% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25% (-0.161 -0.16)79.75% (0.16 0.16)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.155 -0.16)32.65% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.175 -0.18)69.19% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)30.43% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-0.113 -0.11)66.63% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 34.12%
    Sao Paulo 37.59%
    Draw 28.28%
GremioDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2021 11pm
gameweek 35
Gremio
3-0
Sao Paulo
Thiago (23'), Barbosa (68'), Robert (90+4')
Costa (74'), Grando (85'), Borja (90+3')

Rigoni (60'), Miranda (90+1')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 16
Sao Paulo
2-1
Gremio

Reinaldo (18'), Alves (21'), Gomes (61')

Geromel (12'), Felipe Scolari (61')
Feb 14, 2021 11.30pm
gameweek 36
Gremio
1-2
Sao Paulo
Souza (33')
Doin (59'), Souza (90'), Alisson (90+2'), Pinares (90+8'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pinares (90+10')
Tche (63'), Luciano (68')
Carneiro (59'), Alves (75'), Vinicius (81'), Tche (90')
Dec 31, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Sao Paulo
0-0
Gremio
Dec 24, 2020 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Gremio
1-0
Sao Paulo

Thaciano (16'), Henrique (58'), Vanderlei (90+1')

Alves (8'), Alves (68'), Sara (90+1'), Reinaldo (90+5'), Bueno (90+5')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!