Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Aug 15, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Gremio

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Gremio

Bueno (13'), Gomes (90+4')
Reinaldo (18'), Alves (21'), Gomes (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vanderson (20')
Geromel (12'), Felipe Scolari (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawGremio
46.64%27.42%25.94%
Both teams to score 45.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.9%59.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45%79.54%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63%25.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83%60.17%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.23%38.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5%75.5%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 46.64%
    Gremio 25.94%
    Draw 27.42%
Sao PauloDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.49%
2-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 25.94%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Gremio

Sao Paulo
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Gremio
0.0%
9