Brasileiro | Gameweek 8

May 28, 2023 at 1am UK

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Goias

Maia (57', 57'), David (90+1', 90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Maguinho (29', 29')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Goias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-2 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, May 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Goias

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Goias 1-0 Universitario
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Goias
65.83% ( -0.58)	20.6% ( 0.37)	13.57% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 45.86% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

-1.07)

48.58% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

-0.98)

70.7% (

0.98)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

-0.51)

13.93% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.61% (

-1.01)

41.38% (

1.02)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.28% (

-0.32)

46.72% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.73% (

-0.25)

82.27% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 65.82%

Goias 13.57%

Draw 20.6%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.46% Total : 65.82%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.6%	0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.57%