Copa Sudamericana
May 24, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Complejo Deportivo Socialista
  • goal Wellington Rato 28'
  • goal Wellington Rato 28'
  • goal Alisson 90'+4'
  • goal Alisson 90'+4'

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 4, 2023 1.00am
Puerto Cabello 0 - 3 Tigre

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 2, 2023 11.00pm
Tolima 0 - 0 Sao Paulo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result

Academia Puerto Cabello 20.12% (+0.04)
Draw 25.06% (+0.02)
Sao Paulo 54.83% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.87% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.4% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 55.61% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 23.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.77% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 10.26% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.74% (+0.02)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5 57.53% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.47% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.16% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 78.84% (-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 79.74% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 20.27% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 47.38% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 52.62% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Academia Puerto Cabello 20.12%
Draw 25.06%
Sao Paulo 54.81%
Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 7.37% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.06%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 13.73%
0-2 @ 10.96% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.81%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 19, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Marcos Paulo 86' goal
  • Michel Araujo 88' goal