Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Complejo Deportivo Socialista

Puerto Cabello
0 - 2
Sao Paulo

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rato (28', 28'), Alisson (90+4', 90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-3 Tigre
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-2 Vasco
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Academia Puerto Cabello	Draw	Sao Paulo
20.12% ( 0.04)	25.06% ( 0.02)	54.83% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.87% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.4% (

-0.02)

55.61% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.02)

76.77% (

0.02)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.53% (

0.03)

42.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.16% (

0.02)

78.84% (

-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

-0.03)

20.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

-0.05)

52.62% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Academia Puerto Cabello 20.12%

Sao Paulo 54.81%

Draw 25.06%

Academia Puerto Cabello	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.12%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 13.73% 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.81%