Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado

Puerto Cabello
0 - 3
Tigre

FT(HT: 0-1)
Retegui (24' pen.), Menossi (68'), Blondel (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Tigre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

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Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Tigre

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Tigre
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Academia Puerto CabelloDrawTigre
24.6% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)26.67% (-0.012 -0.01)48.72% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (0.020000000000003 0.02)57.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.015999999999998 0.02)78.16% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Academia Puerto Cabello Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)38.97% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.7% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)23.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Academia Puerto Cabello 24.6%
    Tigre 48.72%
    Draw 26.67%
Academia Puerto CabelloDrawTigre
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 24.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 13.28%
0-2 @ 9.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 48.72%

rhs 2.0


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