Copa Sudamericana
May 4, 2023 1.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
  • goal Mateo Retegui 24'
  • goal Lucas Menossi 68'
  • goal Lucas Blondel 81'

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Tigre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 1.30am
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Puerto Cabello

Tigre

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 3.00am
Tolima 1 - 2 Tigre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result

Academia Puerto Cabello 24.6% (-0.04)
Draw 26.67% (-0.02)
Tigre 48.72% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.62% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.66% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 57.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 21.84% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.16% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9.41% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.59% (-0.01)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5 61.02% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 38.97% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.7% (+0.02)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 76.4% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.6% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.32% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.68% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Academia Puerto Cabello 24.6%
Draw 26.67%
Tigre 48.72%
Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 24.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.67%
Tigre
0-1 @ 13.28%
0-2 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.04% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 48.72%