Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 23, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro

Goias
1 - 0
Universitario

Apodi (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Goias and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Goias

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Goias
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Universitario

All competitions

Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Santa Fe
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.

Result
Goias	Draw	Universitario
48.17% ( 0.03)	26.9% ( -0.01)	24.94% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.31% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.1% (

0.02)

57.9% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.39% (

0.02)

78.61% (

-0.02)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89% (

0.02)

24.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6% (

0.03)

58.41% (

-0.04)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.02% (

-0)

38.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.29% (

-0)

75.71% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Goias 48.16%

Universitario 24.94%

Draw 26.89%

Goias	Draw	Universitario
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.16%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.94%