Copa Sudamericana
May 5, 2023 3.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Emanuel Herrera 11' goal
  • Matias Di Benedetto 66' goal

Universitario vs Santa Fe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 3.00am
Universitario 2 - 2 Goias

Santa Fe

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 3.00am
Santa Fe 2 - 1 Gimnasia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.

Result

Universitario 56.11% (-0.15)
Draw 24.61% (-0.28)
Santa Fe 19.28% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89% (+1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.08% (+1.48)
Under 2.5 54.92% (-1.48)
Over 3.5 23.8% (+1.21)
Under 3.5 76.2% (-1.21)
Over 4.5 10.61% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 89.4% (-0.74)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5 80.51% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 19.49% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 48.64% (+0.84)
Under 1.5 51.36% (-0.84)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5 57% (+1.36)
Under 0.5 43% (-1.35)
Over 1.5 20.71% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 79.29% (-1.12)

Score analysis

Universitario 56.1%
Draw 24.6%
Santa Fe 19.28%
Universitario
1-0 @ 13.7% (-0.58)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 9.46% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.16% (+0.15)
4-0 @ 2.5% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 2.11% (+0.10)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 56.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.50)
2-2 @ 3.99% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.6%
Santa Fe
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 4.88% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 2.99% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.12% (+0.10)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 19.28%