Universitario
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental

Universitario
2 - 0
Santa Fe

Herrera (11'), Di Benedetto (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universitario and Santa Fe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

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Last Game: Universitario 2-2 Goias
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Santa Fe

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Fe 2-1 Gimnasia
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.

Result
UniversitarioDrawSanta Fe
56.11% (-0.149 -0.15)24.61% (-0.271 -0.27)19.28% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 45.89% (1.375 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (1.478 1.48)54.92% (-1.474 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (1.209 1.21)76.2% (-1.206 -1.21)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (0.518 0.52)19.49% (-0.514 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64% (0.838 0.84)51.36% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (1.352 1.35)43% (-1.349 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (1.12 1.12)79.29% (-1.116 -1.12)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 56.1%
    Santa Fe 19.28%
    Draw 24.6%
UniversitarioDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 13.7% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-0 @ 11.2% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.146 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 56.1%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.492 -0.49)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 19.28%