Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 9, 2023 at 12am UK
 

Rionegro
1 - 2
Santa Fe

Pineda (65', 65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mosquera (45+4'), De La Rosa Mendoza (83'), De La Rosa (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Aguilas Doradas and Santa Fe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rionegro

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Last Game: Rionegro 1-1 Oriente
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Santa Fe

Last Game: Santa Fe 0-0 Junior
Tuesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rionegro win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rionegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
RionegroDrawSanta Fe
50.17% (-0.555 -0.56)26.2% (0.187 0.19)23.62% (0.367 0.37)
Both teams to score 46.96% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-0.377 -0.38)56.4% (0.377 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.304 -0.3)77.41% (0.304 0.3)
Rionegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)22.55% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.602 -0.6)56.14% (0.601 0.6)
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.64% (0.136 0.14)39.36% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94% (0.126 0.13)76.06% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Rionegro 50.16%
    Santa Fe 23.62%
    Draw 26.2%
RionegroDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 13.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 23.62%

rhs 2.0


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