Internacional (Brasil)
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
Vasco da Gama

Internacional
2 - 1
Vasco

Zwarg (3'), Wanderson (16')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rayan (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Internacional and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Vasco 1-4 Flamengo
Tuesday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawVasco da Gama
60.74% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)22.72% (0.052999999999997 0.05)16.54% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.4% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.142 -0.14)51.62% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (-0.123 -0.12)73.4% (0.126 0.13)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.59% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (-0.148 -0.15)46.38% (0.151 0.15)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)44.38% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.57% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)80.43% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 60.73%
    Vasco da Gama 16.54%
    Draw 22.72%
InternacionalDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.54%

How you voted: Internacional vs Vasco

Internacional
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Vasco da Gama
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2021 7pm
gameweek 36
Vasco
0-2
Internacional

Gomes (18')
Dourado (10'), Galhardo (90+6')
Mauricio (25'), Rodinei (45'), Cuesta (77'), Moises (79'), Lomba (90+3'), Galhardo (90+7')
Oct 18, 2020 10.15pm
gameweek 17
Internacional
2-0
Vasco
Edenilson (25'), Galhardo (35' pen.)
Cuesta (68')

Castan (45+2')
Oct 20, 2019 8pm
gameweek 27
Internacional
0-1
Vasco

D'Alessandro (45'), Silva (50'), Patrick (90')
Marrony (52')
Guarin (78')
Jun 8, 2019 12.30am
gameweek 8
Vasco
2-1
Internacional
Andrey (44'), Reis (45')
Santos (56')
Sobis (94'), Santos (97')
Oct 27, 2018 1.30am
gameweek 31
Vasco
1-1
Internacional
Lopez (92' pen.)
Maranhao (42'), Galhardo (93'), Lopez (94')
Alvez (85')
D'Alessandro (19'), Moledo (45'), Edenilson (91'), Dourado (91'), Alvez (94')
Edenilson (95')