Copa Sudamericana
May 15, 2024 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Cristopher Fiermarin 33' yellowcard
  • Cristopher Fiermarin 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Palavecino 41' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Palavecino 41' yellowcard
  • Alexis Soto 52' yellowcard
  • Alexis Soto 52' yellowcard
  • Jose Ortiz 68' goal
  • Jose Ortiz 68' goal
  • Facundo Echevarria 89' yellowcard
  • Facundo Echevarria 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brayan Muniz 10'
  • yellowcard Brayan Muniz 10'
  • goal Brayan Muniz 22'
  • goal Brayan Muniz 22'
  • yellowcard Luis Manuel Orejuela 52'
  • yellowcard Luis Manuel Orejuela 52'
  • yellowcard Jose Ortiz 69'
  • yellowcard Jose Ortiz 69'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lima 73'
  • yellowcard Pablo Lima 73'
  • yellowcard Jimer Fory 79'
  • yellowcard Jimer Fory 79'

Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 8, 2024 3.00am
Always Ready 3 - 0 Defensa

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 8, 2024 1.00am
Cesar Vallejo 1 - 5 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Defensa y Justicia 50.32% (-0.03)
Draw 24.38% (+0.02)
Independiente Medellin 25.31% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.94% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 70.06% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.63% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.37% (+0.03)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 80.95% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 19.05% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 49.36% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 50.64% (+0.05)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.79% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Defensa y Justicia 50.31%
Draw 24.38%
Independiente Medellin 25.31%
Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.48% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.38%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 25.31%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 26, 2024 3.00am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Brayan Muniz 1' goal
  • Brayan Muniz 1' goal
  • Alfredo Arias 8' yellowcard
  • Alfredo Carlos Arias Sanchez 9' yellowcard
  • Luis Manuel Orejuela 10' yellowcard
  • Luis Manuel Orejuela 10' yellowcard
  • Miguel Monsalve 22' goal
  • Miguel Monsalve 22' goal
  • Diego Moreno 72' yellowcard
  • Diego Moreno 72' yellowcard
  • Miguel Monsalve 77' yellowcard
  • Miguel Monsalve 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Lopez 7'
  • yellowcard Julian Lopez 8'
  • yellowcard Luciano Herrera 62'
  • yellowcard Luciano Herrera 62'
  • yellowcard Esteban Burgos 72'
  • yellowcard Esteban Burgos 72'
  • goal Nicolas Palavecino 76'
  • goal Nicolas Palavecino 76'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bogarin 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bogarin 90'+2'