Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 43.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.