Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.