Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
57.09% ( 0.21)	24.91% ( -0.13)	18% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 43.07% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45% (

0.33)

57.56% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.66% (

0.26)

78.34% (

-0.25)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

0.21)

20.14% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59% (

0.34)

52.41% (

-0.34)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.94% (

0.09)

46.06% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.23% (

0.07)

81.77% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 57.08%

Deportivo Riestra 18%

Draw 24.91%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 14.86% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 57.08%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 18%