Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 44.43%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.