Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.