Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.71%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.