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Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 0
Tigre

Pratto (68'), Tripichio (85')
Castellani (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Prieto (30')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Tigre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, September 15 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Estudiantes
Friday, September 15 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTigre
38.92% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 28.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)58.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.69% (0.004999999999999 0)79.31% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88%33.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28%69.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 38.91%
    Tigre 32.99%
    Draw 28.07%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTigre
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 38.91%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.99%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 22
Defensa
1-0
Tigre
Fernandez (46')
Malatini (63'), Cardona (74')

Forclaz (83'), Cardozo (84')
Aug 13, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
0-0
Tigre
Rios (64'), Gutierrez (70'), Colombo (80')
Cabrera (77')
Nov 26, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
2-1
Tigre
Rojas (5'), Fernandez (81')
Montillo (53')
Gonzalez (32'), Moiraghi (63'), Luna (93')
Canuto (68'), Prediger (85')
rhs 2.0
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