Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.