Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.01%).