Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Racing
2 - 2
Nacional

Veron (45'), Bueno (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Monzeglio (26'), Rodriguez (52')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Fenix 3-0 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 4-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
26.2% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)27.75% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)46.04% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Both teams to score 45.01% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (0.129 0.13)60.07% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (0.097999999999999 0.1)80.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)39.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (0.012 0.01)75.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (0.11799999999999 0.12)26.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (0.159 0.16)61.17% (-0.162 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 26.2%
    Nacional 46.04%
    Draw 27.75%
Racing de MontevideoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.2%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 13.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 46.04%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Racing
Ramirez (7' pen., 30'), Gigliotti (79')
Alaniz (72')
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Nacional
3-0
Racing
Vina (8'), Vecino (78', 80')
Carvalho (35'), Garcia (50'), Zunino (64'), Carballo (91')
Mar 2, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
1-1
Nacional
Sosa (77')
Rodriguez (65'), Arismendi (90')
Ocampo (87')
Cotugno (53'), Pereira (60')
Sep 1, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Racing
Garcia (52')
Rolin (89'), Oliva (94')

Ramos (76'), Malan (82'), Lacoste (95')
May 31, 2018 12am
Nacional
5-0
Racing
Erramuspe (7'), Bergessio (22'), Aguiar (43'), Coelho (74'), Viudez (82')
Bergessio (28'), Zunino (85')

Lacoste (28'), Romero (38')
Romero (45'), Lacoste (63')