Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.