Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Liverpool

Heredia (61'), Villalba (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bentancourt (50' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Argentinos Juniors and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-2 Racing
Friday, June 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawLiverpool
68.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)11.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.02% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (-0.107 -0.11)52.55% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (-0.093 -0.09)74.21% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)14.34% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)42.18% (0.067 0.07)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)53.28% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.17% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)86.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 68.58%
    Liverpool 11.15%
    Draw 20.26%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 14.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 14.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 68.58%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.26%
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.15%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Liverpool

Argentinos Juniors
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Liverpool
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Liverpool
2-2
Argentinos Jrs
Bentancourt (48', 76')
Gonzalez (45+1'), Torren (60' pen.)