Copa Libertadores
Jun 7, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Leonardo Heredia 61' goal
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+5' goal
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 50'

Argentinos Juniors vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 25, 2023 1.30am
Argentinos Jrs 0 - 0 Corinthians

Liverpool

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 11.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 0 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result

Argentinos Juniors 68.6% (+0.01)
Draw 20.26% (+0.02)
Liverpool 11.15% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.02% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.45% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 52.55% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.79% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 74.21% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 11.86% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.14% (+0.07)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 85.66% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 14.34% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 57.82% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 42.18% (+0.07)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 46.72% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 53.28% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 13.17% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 86.82% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Argentinos Juniors 68.58%
Draw 20.26%
Liverpool 11.15%
Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 14.83% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 14.4% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.33% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 68.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.26%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 4.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.15%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 2, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Ruben Bentancourt 48' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 76' goal
  • goal Francisco Gonzalez 45'+1'
  • goal Miguel Torren 60'