Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.