Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.