Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
May 6, 2023 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Julio César Villagra
  • Pablo Vegetti 33' goal

Belgrano vs Atletico Tucuman - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 10.00pm
Independiente 2 - 0 Belgrano
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 1.30am
Tucuman 1 - 1 River Plate
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mateo Coronel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 44.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result

Belgrano 44.14% (-0.20)
Draw 30.78% (-0.04)
Atletico Tucuman 25.08% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.12% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 30.49% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 69.52% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 13.08% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 86.92% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 4.67% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 95.33% (-0.07)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 68.22% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.78% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.21% (+0.01)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5 54.41% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 45.59% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 18.6% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 81.4% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Belgrano 44.14%
Draw 30.78%
Atletico Tucuman 25.08%
Belgrano
1-0 @ 16.61% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 9.52% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.48% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.14%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.49% (-0.11)
1-1 @ 13.04% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.94% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 30.78%
Atletico Tucuman
0-1 @ 11.38% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.12% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.47% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.34% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.08%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2018 10.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Julio César Villagra (Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba)
  • Leonardo Sequeira 13' goal
  • Tomas Guidara 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 25'
  • goal Bruno Bianchi 32'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 35'
  • goal Leandro Diaz 58'
  • yellowcard Yonathan Cabral 82'
  • goal Luis Rodriguez 83'