Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Apr 30, 2023 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Martin Cauteruccio 9' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 89' goal

Independiente vs Belgrano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 24, 2023 12.30am
River Plate 2 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Matias Gimenez Rojas

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Belgrano 1 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (13.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 34.81% (-0.97)
Draw 30.19% (+0.01)
Belgrano 35% (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.64% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.31% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 65.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 15.63% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 84.37% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 5.95% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 94.05% (+0.01)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 64.47% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 35.53% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 27.7% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 72.29% (+0.69)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 64.59% (+0.66)
Under 0.5 35.4% (-0.67)
Over 1.5 27.83% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 72.16% (-0.68)

Score analysis

Independiente 34.8%
Draw 30.17%
Belgrano 35%
Independiente
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 34.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.57%
2-2 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.17%
Belgrano
0-1 @ 13.06% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.02% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.78% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.26% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2018 4.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Maximiliano Meza 39' redcard
  • Emanuel Britez 45' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 53' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Britez 55' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 62' goal
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 32'
  • redcard Juan Quiroga 34'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Lugo 77'
  • yellowcard Tomas Guidara 79'