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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Independiente

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 2
Independiente

Avalos (79' pen.), Heredia (83')
Avalos (7'), Milito (8'), Cabrera (44'), Mac Allister (49'), Gabriel Montiel (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ortiz (45+1'), Cauteruccio (65' pen.)
Gimenez Rojas (37'), Barreto (39'), Elizalde (77')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Belgrano
Sunday, April 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
59.25% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49) 24.81% (0.221 0.22) 15.94% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 39.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13% (-0.335 -0.34)59.86% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (-0.256 -0.26)80.13% (0.25399999999999 0.25)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (-0.324 -0.32)20.2% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (-0.521 -0.52)52.51% (0.52 0.52)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.88% (0.18 0.18)50.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.26% (0.123 0.12)84.74% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 59.25%
    Independiente 15.94%
    Draw 24.8%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.19% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.95% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.12% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.86% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 15.94%

Head to Head
Jun 16, 2022 11pm
gameweek 3
Argentinos Jrs
2-1
Independiente
Nuss (21'), Vera (53')
Moyano (45+2'), Nuss (45+5'), Vera (90+1')
Benegas (44')
Rodriguez (39'), Laso (73'), Fernandez (90'), Barreto (90+3')
Jul 19, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Independiente
0-0
Argentinos Jrs

Manuel Insaurralde (21'), Roa (76'), Romero (77')

Gomez (26'), Ovando (86'), Di Cesare (87')
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Fase Campeon
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Coronel (86')
Menendez (24'), Velasco (71')
Bustos (61')
Oct 19, 2019 7.30pm
gameweek 10
Independiente
0-1
Argentinos Jrs

Perez (7'), Bustos (9'), Palacios (25'), Figal (84')
Roa (45')
Gomez (86')
Sandoval (32'), Gomez (34'), Mac Allister (42'), Silva (55'), Batallini (70')
Nov 4, 2018 2pm
gameweek 11
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Montero (81')
Gigliotti (17', 86')
rhs 2.0
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