Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (13.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Boca Juniors
35.82% ( 0.54)	31.87% ( 0.04)	32.32% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 37.41% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.45% (

-0.14)

70.55% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.42% (

-0.09)

87.58% (

0.09)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44% (

0.3)

37.55% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66% (

0.29)

74.34% (

-0.29)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91% (

-0.51)

40.09% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26% (

-0.47)

76.74% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 35.81%

Boca Juniors 32.31%

Draw 31.85%

Gimnasia	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.74% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 35.81%	0-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.85%	0-1 @ 13.76% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 32.31%